Global projections of tropical cyclones based on the ISIMIP3b ensemble of global climate models: maximum wind speed

Cite as

Dánnell Quesada-Chacón (2025): Global projections of tropical cyclones based on the ISIMIP3b ensemble of global climate models: maximum wind speed (v1.0). ISIMIP Repository. https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.368090

Metadata

DOI:
https://doi.org/10.48364/ISIMIP.368090
Title:
Global projections of tropical cyclones based on the ISIMIP3b ensemble of global climate models: maximum wind speed
Version:
1.0
Creators:
Contact person:

For inquiries concerning this dataset, please contact info@isimip.org.

Abstract:

This dataset includes global, gridded projections of areas affected by strong tropical cyclone (TC) winds at 300 arc-second horizontal resolution, derived from CMIP6 climate model simulations, and prepared in the context of ISIMIP3b (Frieler et al. 2025). They describe the annual maximum TC wind speed in each grid cell, under pre-industrial, historical, and future climatic conditions according to different scenarios of greenhouse gas concentrations.

Synthetic TC track projections from the WindRiskTech TC model were bias-adjusted using observed TC data from IBTrACS, and sampled to obtain a probabilistic distribution of potential realizations of storms in each scenario. The data can be used for assessing the risks associated with TC wind hazard, such as risks to life, livelihoods, health, or economic assets. In the context of the EU Horizon project TipESM, they support the assessment of potential tipping dynamics in household recovery from climate-induced shocks and related poverty risks, as well as flood-induced human displacement risk (Schewe et al., 2025).

Publication date:
Sept. 29, 2025
Publisher:
ISIMIP Repository
Contributors:

Here we list the persons and organizations, who are responsible for the collection, the management, and the publication of this dataset.

Rights

CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication
CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication (CC0 1.0)
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Version History

  • Version 1.0 was created on Sept. 29, 2025.
    this version

GCMD Keywords

  • EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > NATURAL HAZARDS > TROPICAL CYCLONES
  • Global Change Master Directory (GCMD) Keywords are a hierarchical set of controlled vocabularies maintained by NASA (more information).

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